ABC Punting (Almost Black Caviar Punting)

By Paul Segar

Punting as everybody knows is a difficult hobby at the best of times. And there are many different ways to approach it. This little article looks at a plan which should be useful for many punters focusing on improving their bottom line.

 

Every single day you can apply a variety of bets in an almost endless supply of races. You can go for long shots, trifectas, take the favourite or a combination of anything…or everything.

One tried and true approach is the simple win bet. Which horse to take is as always the difficulty and of course which race will be the best for you. No help in either of these areas but more a way of approaching your betting.

There are very few things in life that are certain, as they say, death, taxes…and Black Caviar. So what is being suggested here is only take the wagers that are clear cut and certain. Well we only have our three certainties and as this article is written, Black Caviar is unbeaten and hopefully she remains that way (otherwise we would lose one of Australia’s greatest unbeaten legends and this article would also need some adjusting…).

There is only one Black Caviar and although some horses can string together a few wins, more horses usually win one in a row and that’s about it.
So the type of bet to take is like betting on Black Caviar, that is taking a certain bet. Life would be great if this type of wager could be found on a daily or weekly basis. Everyone could live off the profits. Sadly there are few other certainties – but as they say there are races and there are races.

The type of horse to bet on is the one that has the race won and only really bad luck can beat it. There is usually one of these running at most meetings. Short in price is often de rigueur but not always.

Emphasis: focus on the quality. Look for the bets like you were betting on Black Caviar.

OK, there is only one Black Caviar. So the idea is to bet on horses that will run almost like the great mare, that is Almost (like) Black Caviar or ABC punting. Take those bets that you think are almost certain to win, that is they are almost like betting on the mighty champion. If the bet doesn’t match up to this criteria, don’t take it.

It’s amazing how one simple rule can a) reduce your number of bets and b) limit bets to only top wagers.

Keep a list of your ABC wagers and compare them with all your other bets. See if this approach helps your bottom line.

So, the next time you prepare for taking a wager, think ABC punting.

Black Caviar

1st 13 Apr 2013 RANDWICK T.J. SMITH STAKES (G1)
1st 22 Mar 2013 MOONEE VALLEY WILLIAM REID STAKES
1st 16 Feb 2013 FLEMINGTON LIGHTNING STAKES (G1)
1st 23 Jun 2012 GB - ASCOT DIAMOND JUBILEE STAKES
1st 12 May 2012 MORPHETTVILLE THE GOODWOOD (G1)
1st 28 Apr 2012 MORPHETTVILLE SPORTINGBET ROBERT SANGSTER (G1)
1st 18 Feb 2012 FLEMINGTON COOLMORE LIGHTNING STAKES (G1)
1st 11 Feb 2012 CAULFIELD SPORTINGBET C.F. ORR STAKES (G1)
1st 27 Jan 2012 MOONEE VALLEY AUSTRALIA STAKES (G2)
1st 5 Nov 2011 FLEMINGTON PATINACK FARM CLASSIC (G1)
1st 22 Oct 2011 MOONEE VALLEY SCHWEPPES STAKES (G2)
1st 8 Oct 2011 CAULFIELD SCHILLACI STAKES (G2)
1st 14 May 2011 DOOMBEN B T C CUP (G1)
1st 9 Apr 2011 RANDWICK DARLEY T J SMITH STAKES (G1)
1st 25 Mar 2011 MOONEE VALLEY PULSE PHARMACY WILLIAM REID (G1)
1st 12 Mar 2011 FLEMINGTON LEXUS NEWMARKET HANDICAP (G1)
1st 19 Feb 2011 FLEMINGTON COOLMORE LIGHTNING STAKES (G1)
1st 6 Nov 2010 FLEMINGTON PATINACK FARM CLASSIC (G1)
1st 23 Oct 2010 MOONEE VALLEY SCHWEPPES STAKES (G2)
1st 9 Oct 2010 CAULFIELD P F D FOOD SERV. SCHILLACI STK (G2)
1st 22 Jan 2010 MOONEE VALLEY ESSENDON MAZDA AUST. STAKES (G2)
1st 5 Sep 2009 FLEMINGTON DANEHILL STAKES (G2) 3yo OPEN
1st 22 Aug 2009 MOONEE VALLEY ARROW TRAINING SERVICES PLATE (G4)
1st 2 May 2009 CAULFIELD BLUE SAPPHIRE STAKES (G4)
1st 18 Apr 2009 FLEMINGTON CROMWELL HANDICAP